医药板块，后续怎么走？

Core Viewpoint - The pharmaceutical sector has experienced a slowdown in its upward momentum after a strong rally earlier in the year, with the number of "doubling funds" significantly decreasing [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of November 28, only two pharmaceutical-themed funds, Zhongyin Hong Kong Stock Connect Pharmaceutical A and Chuangjin Hexin Global Pharmaceutical Biotechnology A, maintained doubling returns, with gains of 107.69% and 100.32% respectively, indicating a notable contraction compared to previous performance [3]. - In the third quarter, multiple pharmaceutical funds saw significant net value increases, but by the end of November, the average return for pharmaceutical-themed funds had retreated approximately 10% from their September peak [3]. - Major pharmaceutical ETFs, including the CSI 300 Pharmaceutical and Health Index and the CSI All Share Pharmaceutical and Health Index, have also seen a decline in scale over the past three months, reflecting a shift in investor sentiment from aggressive buying to cautious observation [3]. Group 2: Policy Environment - The policy landscape is viewed as a stabilizing factor for the pharmaceutical sector, with institutions focusing on policy and industry dynamics to gauge future trends [4]. - The National Healthcare Security Administration and the National Health Commission have issued measures to support the high-quality development of innovative drugs, providing comprehensive support across research, access, clinical application, and payment mechanisms [5]. - Regulatory improvements, such as the implementation of ICH guidelines and encouragement of real-world studies for drug safety assessments, are expected to enhance the efficiency and scientific rigor of drug approvals [5]. Group 3: Valuation and Investment Outlook - The pharmaceutical industry has ranked relatively low in terms of valuation over the past four years, suggesting significant potential for upward movement as valuations have been sufficiently digested [6]. - Following a period of correction, the relative value of the pharmaceutical sector is becoming more apparent, with a shift in investment logic from short-term trading to valuation recovery [6]. - Positive signs of recovery are emerging in the pharmaceutical sector's fundamentals, with improved performance reported in the third quarter and expectations for accelerated business development in the fourth quarter [6]. - The Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts are anticipated to facilitate a recovery in pharmaceutical financing, alongside improvements in the domestic capital market, which will likely enhance new drug research and development spending [7].