21世纪经济报道·2025-12-03 12:24Core Viewpoint - The recent collective removal of 5-year large denomination time deposits by major banks indicates a strategic shift in banks' approach to interest margin management and a potential reduction in the supply of long-term fixed-rate deposits [1][15]. Group 1: Market Changes - Major state-owned banks have collectively removed 5-year large denomination time deposits from their mobile banking platforms, with current offerings limited to terms of 3 years or less, and interest rates ranging from 1.20% to 1.55% [1][3]. - Some banks have labeled their 3-year large denomination time deposits as "available," but many are already sold out, reflecting a significant departure from the traditional year-end deposit attraction strategies [1][13]. Group 2: Historical Context - The development of 5-year large denomination time deposits spans nearly 40 years, with their initial introduction in 1986 and a significant revival in 2015 after a long hiatus [6][7]. - The peak popularity of these deposits occurred around 2022, where they were highly sought after, often selling out quickly and leading to phenomena like "setting alarms to purchase" [7][9]. Group 3: Financial Implications - The decline in the attractiveness of 5-year large denomination time deposits is attributed to the narrowing net interest margins faced by banks, which have led to a reduction in the issuance of long-term deposits [8][15]. - As of the third quarter, the net interest margin for commercial banks was reported at 1.42%, indicating ongoing pressure on banks' profitability due to high deposit costs amidst declining loan rates [15]. Group 4: Strategic Adjustments - Banks are expected to adopt a differentiated supply model for long-term deposits, with only a few banks with strong liability demands likely to continue offering such products [1][15]. - The minimum investment thresholds for large denomination time deposits have changed, with current offerings showing minimal interest rate differences across various investment amounts, indicating a shift in product positioning [16]. Group 5: Investor Behavior - In response to the changing landscape, investors are shifting from a focus on high-interest deposits to a more diversified asset allocation strategy, with a notable increase in interest in non-principal guaranteed financial products [19][20]. - A significant portion of the population is now inclined to explore various investment options, reflecting a broader change in financial attitudes and strategies among retail investors [19].