美国智库的台湾问题“土方子”，管不了用

Core Viewpoint - The article argues that the U.S. think tanks' interventions regarding the Taiwan issue, including military intervention and economic sanctions, will not significantly impact China's strategy and pace in resolving the Taiwan situation, as China has its own approach to unification [1][16][17]. Summary by Sections U.S. Think Tanks' Reports - The article expresses skepticism towards the wargaming reports from U.S. think tanks, suggesting that their understanding of modern China is inadequate, leading to flawed conclusions [2]. - A specific report from the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) in January 2023 outlined 24 battle scenarios, with the U.S., Japan, and Taiwan winning in 22 of them, while China only won in two scenarios under specific conditions [4][5]. Reactions and Implications - The report has been widely circulated and discussed in Japanese and Taiwanese media, which the author views as an attempt to support certain political narratives regarding Taiwan's security [5]. - The author critiques the mindset of U.S. scholars, suggesting they have a savior complex regarding Taiwan, influenced by historical, political, and financial factors [6]. Military and Economic Strategies - U.S. think tanks have traditionally proposed military intervention and economic sanctions as responses to potential Chinese actions regarding Taiwan, acknowledging the growing disparity in military and economic power between China and Taiwan [13]. - The 2023 CSIS report introduced a third approach: diplomatic mediation, suggesting that the U.S. should provide China with a way to save face while addressing the Taiwan issue [14][15]. Conclusion - Ultimately, the article concludes that China's strategy regarding Taiwan is independent of U.S. interventions, which are seen as superficial and ineffective [16][17].