爆冷！美联储降息大消息

Group 1 - The core point of the article highlights a significant decline in U.S. private sector employment in November, with a decrease of 32,000 jobs, particularly affecting small businesses [2][3] - The report indicates a stark contrast to the upwardly revised addition of 47,000 jobs in October and falls short of economists' expectations of a 40,000 increase [2] - Large enterprises (with 50 or more employees) added 90,000 jobs, while small businesses (with fewer than 50 employees) lost 120,000 jobs, marking the largest monthly decline since March 2023 [2] Group 2 - Employment in the education and healthcare sectors increased by 33,000 and 13,000 jobs respectively, while several industries, including professional and business services, saw declines [2] - The largest job losses were in professional and business services (26,000 jobs), information services (20,000 jobs), and manufacturing (18,000 jobs) [2] - Wage growth also slowed, with a year-over-year increase of 4.4% in November, down 0.1 percentage points from October [2] Group 3 - ADP's Chief Economist, Nela Richardson, noted that the hiring pace has been inconsistent due to cautious consumers and an uncertain macro environment, with small businesses being the most affected [3] - The upcoming Federal Reserve meeting on December 9-10 will consider this employment data, with a nearly 90% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut, despite some officials expressing concerns about inflation [3] - Recent layoffs from major companies like Apple and Verizon may lead to an increase in the unemployment rate, challenging the previously perceived balance in the labor market [3]