刘世锦：经济增长更依托创新和消费，实施金融强国战略为之架桥

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the need for a robust financial system to support China's transition to a consumption-driven economy, highlighting the importance of capital markets and strong currency in achieving high-quality economic development [1][3]. Group 1: Economic Challenges and Financial Strategy - China's economic growth is shifting from supply constraints to demand constraints, with insufficient consumption being a primary issue rather than investment or exports [1][3]. - The implementation of a financial power strategy aims to bridge the gap between manufacturing and consumption, leveraging a modern financial system to support both sectors [1][3]. Group 2: Capital Market Development - A strong capital market is essential for selecting viable projects that are marketable, profitable, and have manageable risks, thereby enhancing resource allocation efficiency [3][4]. - As China enters an innovation-driven phase, the role of capital markets in project selection will increase, with more societal funds directed towards capital markets, particularly in light of declining real estate investment attractiveness [3][4]. Group 3: Currency and Internationalization - Strong currency is a key indicator of a financial power, historically supported by a robust economy, trade, technology, military strength, and a developed financial system [4][5]. - The internationalization of the Renminbi (RMB) has significant potential, with a focus on increasing offshore RMB availability to enhance liquidity and facilitate its use in international trade [5][6]. Group 4: Manufacturing and Trade Performance - China's manufacturing value added is projected to grow from 26.6 trillion yuan to 33.6 trillion yuan during the 14th Five-Year Plan, contributing over 30% to global manufacturing growth [5]. - In 2024, China's total goods trade is expected to reach 43.8 trillion yuan, maintaining its position as the world's largest trader, with exports surpassing 25 trillion yuan, marking a 7.1% year-on-year increase [5]. Group 5: Implications for Consumption - The anticipated appreciation of the RMB could enable Chinese consumers to purchase better international products, thereby boosting consumption and enhancing the quality of human capital [6].