知欧莫若美，特朗普为何强推俄乌和平

Core Viewpoint - The Trump administration believes that promoting peace between Russia and Ukraine can stabilize the European economy, prevent the escalation of war, and create conditions for Ukraine's post-war reconstruction, aligning with both U.S. and European interests [1][11]. Group 1: U.S. and Ukraine Peace Talks - The peace process between Russia and Ukraine is progressing slowly, with discussions focusing on territorial and security issues during talks held in Florida from December 4 to 6 [2]. - Trump expressed disappointment that Ukrainian President Zelensky had not responded to the U.S. peace plan, indicating a lack of urgency on Zelensky's part due to his focus on seeking support in Europe [3]. Group 2: U.S. National Security Strategy Report - The new U.S. National Security Strategy report serves as a diagnostic tool, analyzing the reasons behind Europe's decline, noting that Europe's share of global GDP has decreased from 25% in 1990 to 14% today [5]. - The report identifies two main reasons for Europe's decline: unstable minority governments that suppress democratic processes and regulatory systems that undermine creativity and industriousness [6]. - Concerns are raised about the future of NATO members potentially becoming majority non-European in the coming decades [6]. Group 3: Misjudgments in the Ukraine Conflict - The report highlights two significant and contradictory misjudgments made by Europe regarding the Ukraine conflict: unrealistic expectations for the war and a lack of confidence in facing Russia, despite European allies having a significant hard power advantage over Russia [6][11]. - The ongoing conflict may lead to closer ties between China and Russia, as evidenced by German companies building processing plants in China using Russian gas they cannot obtain domestically [6]. Group 4: European Response to U.S. Criticism - European leaders, including German Chancellor Merz, have expressed that while some parts of the U.S. National Security Strategy report are understandable, they cannot accept certain criticisms from the U.S. [8]. Group 5: Future of Ukraine and Europe - Zelensky has requested a legally binding security agreement with the U.S., indicating a desire for stronger guarantees amid the ongoing conflict [12]. - The Trump administration views the promotion of peace as essential for stabilizing Europe and ensuring Ukraine's viability as a nation post-conflict [11].