白银，飙升！上期所，最新出手

Core Viewpoint - Silver prices have surged significantly since the end of October, driven by strong buying interest, with the latest price exceeding $60 per ounce, marking a year-to-date increase of over 110% [3][4][5]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of December 10, the London spot silver price reached $60.82 per ounce, reflecting a year-to-date increase of 110.56% [4]. - The Shanghai Futures Exchange has adjusted margin requirements and price limits for silver futures to mitigate excessive speculation, with the margin for the AG2602 contract set at 16% for holding positions and 17% for general positions [5][7]. Group 2: Demand Drivers - The recent surge in silver prices is attributed to two main factors: increased financial allocation demand as investors seek safe-haven assets amid market volatility, and strengthening industrial demand driven by sectors such as AI, renewable energy, and electronics [5][6]. - Global silver ETF holdings have shown steady growth, indicating that both institutional and individual investors are increasing their allocations to silver, with the largest silver ETF, iShares Silver Trust, reporting a holding of 15,973.16 tons, up approximately 6% from the previous month [6]. Group 3: Supply and Inventory Concerns - Global silver inventories are at historically low levels, with the Shanghai Futures Exchange reporting a stock of 688 tons, down over 50% year-to-date [9]. - The London Metal Exchange's silver inventory has decreased by about 75% from its peak in 2019, exacerbating liquidity risks in the market [9]. Group 4: Market Regulation - The Shanghai Futures Exchange's dual approach of increasing margin requirements and expanding price limits aims to prevent excessive speculation and better serve the risk management needs of the real industry [9][10]. - The rapid increase in silver prices has attracted significant capital inflow, leading to premium risks in related silver funds, with some funds trading at premiums exceeding 10% [10].