今夜无眠!
中国基金报·2025-12-10 16:15

Group 1 - The Federal Reserve is expected to lower interest rates again, likely for the last time in the near future, with a high probability of a 25 basis point cut [1][2] - There is significant internal division within the Federal Reserve regarding the decision, which may lead to market volatility, especially concerning Chairman Powell's communication of the decision [2][3] - Investor confidence in further rate cuts next year has weakened, partly due to cautious remarks from Kevin Hassett, a potential successor to Powell, indicating he would resist political pressure for rate cuts [3] Group 2 - The market anticipates a "hawkish rate cut," where the Fed may lower rates while signaling limited future easing, with analysts suggesting three key ways to convey this message [3] - Rate futures indicate that investors have significantly reduced expectations for large rate cuts next year [4] - Oracle's upcoming earnings report is seen as crucial for assessing the sustainability of AI-related investments, with its importance compared to Nvidia's earnings report [4]