“2028年的货都已经卖光了”

Core Viewpoint - GE Vernova has significantly raised its future performance guidance, doubled its dividend, and increased its stock buyback authorization, driven by the explosive growth of AI data centers [3][6][7]. Financial Performance - For the fiscal year 2025, GE Vernova's revenue guidance is set at $36 to $37 billion, with free cash flow increased from $3 to $3.5 billion to $3.5 to $4 billion. The free cash flow for fiscal year 2026 is projected to rise further to $4.5 to $5 billion [6]. - The revenue guidance for fiscal year 2028 has been raised from $45 billion to $52 billion, with the adjusted EBITDA margin increasing from 14% to 22% [6]. Dividend and Buyback - The company has announced a quarterly dividend increase to $0.50 per share and raised its stock buyback plan from $6 billion to $10 billion [7]. Market Demand and Capacity - GE Vernova anticipates signing contracts for 80 gigawatts of combined cycle gas turbines by the end of the year, driven by rising electricity demand from large data center constructions [7]. - The company has sold out its gas turbine capacity until 2028, with only 10% of the 2029 capacity remaining available [8]. Industry Outlook - The CEO of GE Vernova has dismissed concerns about an "AI bubble," stating that there are no signs of demand slowing down [9]. - There is an acceleration in demand growth observed in the fourth quarter, particularly from hyperscale cloud service providers [10]. Analyst Ratings - Following the strong performance, at least six brokerages have raised their target prices for GE Vernova, with JPMorgan setting the highest target at $1,000 [10]. - Oppenheimer upgraded GE Vernova's rating to "Outperform" with a target price of $855, highlighting the company's potential as a core technology partner for AI hyperscale customers [10].