2025年终观察｜陈海生：我国新型储能装机破亿，如何从“规模化”迈向“高质量”？

Core Viewpoint - The new energy storage market in China is experiencing significant growth driven by increasing demand, technological advancements, and strong policy support [3][5]. Group 1: Market Demand and Growth - The installed capacity of new energy storage in China has exceeded 100 million kilowatts, which is over 30 times that at the end of the 13th Five-Year Plan [2]. - The demand for energy storage is expected to continue increasing as the installed capacity of renewable energy sources like wind and solar power rises [5]. - By 2027, the new energy storage installed capacity is projected to reach over 180 million kilowatts, with direct investment in projects estimated at around 250 billion yuan [5]. Group 2: Technological Advancements - Significant breakthroughs in energy storage technology have occurred over the past five years, particularly in lithium-ion battery technology, leading to improved performance and reduced costs [3]. - The commercialization of alternative technologies such as compressed air and flow batteries is establishing a solid foundation for large-scale applications [3]. Group 3: Policy Support - A series of robust policies have been introduced at the national level to support the development of the energy storage industry, including guidelines from the National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration [3]. - Local governments are also implementing specific market and pricing policies that have greatly stimulated market participation [3]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The energy storage market is expected to see accelerated growth in the next 3-5 years, driven by ongoing increases in renewable energy installations and sustained policy support [4][5]. - By 2027-2028, the new energy storage capacity is anticipated to reach 200 million kilowatts, and by around 2030, it could reach 300 million kilowatts [6]. Group 5: Transition to High-Quality Operations - To transition from "scale installation" to "high-quality operation," breakthroughs are needed in market mechanisms, technology optimization, safety prevention, and lifecycle management [7]. - The development of a comprehensive safety standard and monitoring system is essential for ensuring the safety of energy storage systems [7][8]. Group 6: Industry Collaboration and Policy Recommendations - Enhancing the self-sufficiency of key materials and promoting collaborative innovation in the industry are crucial for sustainable development [8]. - Recommendations include refining market-based revenue policies, strengthening safety regulations, conducting cost research on various storage technologies, and promoting industry self-regulation [8].