“日本开始军事介入南海”

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the increasing provocations by the Philippines in the South China Sea, influenced by the United States and Japan, and emphasizes that resolving the South China Sea disputes may take generations of effort [1][10][11]. Group 1: Philippines' Actions and Regional Dynamics - Multiple Philippine vessels have been reported to provoke tensions in the Spratly Islands, prompting necessary control measures from the Chinese Coast Guard [1]. - The Philippines is facing internal political challenges, including corruption scandals and electoral outcomes that may affect the stability of the current administration [4]. Group 2: U.S. and Japan's Role - The U.S. has shifted from a neutral stance to supporting any claimant that provokes China in the South China Sea, a policy that has continued from the Trump administration through to Biden [3]. - Japan's involvement in South China Sea affairs has become increasingly negative and destructive, with recent agreements facilitating military cooperation with the Philippines [6][8]. Group 3: Future Outlook - The overall stability of the South China Sea is not expected to change dramatically in the next five to ten years, largely due to China's presence as the dominant coastal state [10]. - A comprehensive resolution of the South China Sea disputes is anticipated to require several generations, given the complexity and number of involved parties [11].