收益率超200%！公募再现“两倍基”

Core Insights - The article highlights the remarkable performance of actively managed equity funds in 2025, with nearly 60 funds achieving over 100% returns and the first fund since 2008 reaching over 200% returns [1][2][9] - The potential for the highest annual return in public fund history is noted, with a specific fund needing to exceed 7.84% in remaining trading days to surpass the previous record [1][5] Performance Analysis - As of December 12, 2025, the top-performing fund, Yongying Technology Smart Selection A, achieved a return of 218.40%, significantly ahead of the second-place fund [5] - Historical comparisons show that while 2025 has seen a resurgence in fund performance, previous years like 2006 and 2007 also had high returns, but no "two-fold funds" appeared in the years following 2019 [6][7] Market Trends - The article discusses the changing nature of the A-share market, with a shift from broad market rallies to more structured market conditions, leading to fewer high-performing funds in recent years [9][10] - The concentration of holdings in successful funds is emphasized, with many funds heavily invested in specific sectors like technology and high-end manufacturing, which have shown strong performance [10][13] Fund Management Insights - The return of active management capabilities is attributed to both market conditions and improved research capabilities within fund management teams [10][11] - The article notes that the current talent pool in fund management is more stable and capable of delivering consistent research output compared to previous years [14][15] Risks and Considerations - The article warns of the risks associated with high concentration in fund holdings, which can lead to significant performance declines during market corrections [13] - It also highlights the importance of avoiding past mistakes and maintaining a balanced approach to fund management, especially in light of the recent performance surge [12][15]