“日本开始军事介入南海，非常负面”

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the increasing unilateral provocations by the Philippines in the South China Sea, influenced by the support from the United States and Japan, and emphasizes that resolving the South China Sea disputes may take generations of effort [2][6]. Group 1: Philippines' Actions - Multiple Philippine vessels have been sent to the Xianbin Reef area under the pretext of fishing, prompting necessary control measures from the Chinese Coast Guard [2]. - The Philippines is intensifying its provocative actions in the South China Sea, particularly under the influence of the U.S. and Japan [2][4]. Group 2: Japan's Involvement - Japan has significantly increased its involvement in South China Sea affairs, including informal discussions with the Philippines regarding the export of defense equipment [4]. - The signing of the Japan-Philippines Reciprocal Access Agreement has paved the way for the regular deployment of Japanese Self-Defense Forces in the Philippines [4]. - Japan's role in the South China Sea arbitration case has been criticized, with claims that it acted as a puppet for the U.S. during the proceedings [5]. Group 3: Future Outlook - The overall peace and stability in the South China Sea is not expected to undergo significant changes in the next five to ten years due to China's presence as the largest coastal state [7]. - Localized conflicts and disputes may still occur, driven by certain countries taking unilateral actions to consolidate their interests before reaching a consensus on the "Code of Conduct" [7][8]. - A comprehensive resolution of the South China Sea disputes is anticipated to require efforts spanning several generations due to the complexity and number of involved parties [6][8].