2026年的IPO宝座，已经预定好了

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the upcoming IPO wave in the technology sector, particularly focusing on AI and related industries, predicting a significant shift in the market dynamics towards a few leading companies rather than a broad-based IPO market [4][14][22]. Group 1: IPO Market Trends - The IPO market in 2026 is expected to be drastically different, with potentially only one-tenth the number of companies compared to 2021, but with a record fundraising scale of $450-500 billion [21][22]. - In the first three quarters of 2025, only 13 AI expansion-stage companies went public, contributing 87% of the total exit value, indicating a concentration of capital towards a few leading firms [15][16]. - The average exit value for AI companies is 50-100 times that of ordinary companies, highlighting the high growth potential and market interest in these firms [17][19]. Group 2: Key Players in the Market - Major players like SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic are set to dominate the IPO landscape, with combined valuations reaching $1.65 trillion, significantly surpassing previous records [26][28][42]. - OpenAI, despite substantial losses, has achieved a valuation of $500 billion due to its rapid revenue growth, projected to reach $600 billion by the end of 2026 [30][32]. - SpaceX holds a monopoly in the rocket launch market, planning to raise over $30 billion through its IPO, which could account for more than half of the total global IPO fundraising in 2025 [38][42]. Group 3: China's Technology Sector - China's technology sector is witnessing a collective push towards IPOs, with companies across the entire supply chain, including AI, chips, and robotics, preparing for public offerings [45][61]. - Companies like Yushun Technology and Zhiyuan Robotics are pursuing IPOs, with Yushun expected to submit its application soon, showcasing the market's readiness for innovative technology firms [48][49]. - The storage chip sector is represented by Changjiang Storage and Changxin Storage, both of which are positioned as strategic assets in China's semiconductor landscape, with valuations potentially exceeding one trillion RMB combined [60][61].