刘世锦：经济增长更依托创新和消费

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of building a strong financial system to support China's transition to a consumption-driven economy, highlighting the need for a robust capital market and currency to facilitate this shift [1][3]. Group 1: Financial System and Economic Growth - The main challenge for China's economic growth has shifted from supply constraints to demand constraints, with insufficient consumption being a key issue [1]. - Economic growth will increasingly rely on innovation and consumption, necessitating a modern financial system that bridges manufacturing and consumption [1][3]. - The evolution from a traditional banking system to a modern capital market system is essential for improving project selection and resource allocation efficiency [3]. Group 2: Capital Market Development - As China enters an innovation-driven phase, the capital market will take on a greater role in project selection, directing funds towards promising projects [3]. - With a projected annual increase of at least 30 trillion yuan in social net assets, there will be a significant shift of funds from real estate and bank savings into the capital market [4]. - The capital market must support the growth of large innovative enterprises and a multitude of small and medium-sized enterprises, enhancing resource utilization and increasing investors' income [4]. Group 3: Currency and Internationalization - A strong currency is a critical indicator of a financial powerhouse, with historical examples showing that strong currencies are backed by robust economies and financial systems [5]. - China's manufacturing value added is expected to grow from 26.6 trillion yuan to 33.6 trillion yuan from 2020 to 2024, contributing over 30% to global manufacturing growth [5]. - The internationalization of the renminbi has significant potential, with a focus on increasing offshore renminbi products to enhance liquidity and facilitate its global use [6]. Group 4: Trade Strategy and Consumption - China aims to implement a new trade strategy that balances imports and exports, increasing imports settled in renminbi to strengthen its currency [6]. - The potential for China to become the world's largest consumer market is highlighted, with a focus on improving the quality of human capital through increased consumption [6].