看涨

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market shows a collective upward trend, with the Shanghai Composite Index stabilizing above key moving averages, indicating potential bullish momentum despite existing resistance levels [4][6]. Market Performance - All three major indices in the A-share market closed in the green, with 4,476 stocks rising, reflecting a broad-based profit-making effect [5]. - The trading volume in both markets reached over 1 trillion, increasing by 4.25%, indicating a reduction in market participants' cautious sentiment [6]. Sector Analysis - The consumer sector, particularly retail and duty-free shops, experienced significant gains, while sectors like computing hardware and storage faced declines [5][8]. - Institutional investors are actively reallocating their portfolios, increasing positions in consumer sectors benefiting from policy support, while also investing in technology sectors like computing and smart driving for the upcoming year-end market [8]. Investor Sentiment - Retail investors are showing a rational approach, focusing on sectors with clear growth potential, such as retail and computing, while maintaining a cautious stance on high-flying stocks [8]. - The sentiment among retail investors is optimistic yet measured, with a notable percentage (75.85%) expressing a positive outlook for the market [9]. Positioning and Strategy - The average position of investors is reported at 64.90%, with a significant portion of participants opting to hold their positions rather than making drastic changes [14][20]. - The market is transitioning from a stock-picking strategy to a broader allocation strategy, with increased confidence in the year-end consumption peak and policy benefits [8].