Core Viewpoint - The recent collective decline of four new stocks on their debut in the Hong Kong market is attributed to multiple factors, including tightening liquidity and a mismatch between high valuations and fundamental performance [2][4]. Group 1: New Stock Performance - Four new stocks listed on December 22, 2025, experienced significant declines on their first trading day: Mingji Hospital down 49.46%, Impression Dahongpao down 35.28%, Huazai Bio down 29.32%, and Nanhua Futures down 24.17% [2][6]. - This trend of new stocks underperforming is not isolated; over half of the 17 new stocks listed in December 2025 have also seen their prices drop on the first day [4]. - In contrast, the overall performance of new stocks throughout 2025 was strong, with 76 out of 102 new listings seeing price increases, and 16 stocks achieving over 100% cumulative gains [5]. Group 2: Market Environment - The Hong Kong stock market is facing a weakening liquidity environment, with average daily trading volume dropping below 200 billion HKD and southbound capital inflows significantly decreasing [2][7]. - Southbound capital net inflow for December 2025 was only 21.91 billion RMB, a stark contrast to previous months where inflows often exceeded 100 billion RMB [8]. Group 3: Factors Behind Weakness - Internal factors contributing to the weak liquidity include new regulations for public funds that may lead to net selling of Hong Kong stocks, as many funds are overexposed compared to their benchmarks [9]. - The high demand for funds in the Hong Kong market is also influenced by a backlog of over 300 companies waiting to go public, which adds pressure to the existing liquidity [9]. Group 4: Individual Stock Fundamentals - Mingji Hospital's high valuation is under scrutiny, with a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of approximately 29.8, compared to the average PE of 17 for private hospitals in Hong Kong. Its revenue and profit have also declined year-on-year [11][12]. - Impression Dahongpao has similarly reported a decrease in profit, with figures of 42.86 million RMB and 10.23 million RMB for 2024 and the first half of 2025, respectively [12]. Group 5: IPO Mechanism Changes - The introduction of "Mechanism B" for IPOs allows issuers to set a lower limit on the public offering portion, which can lead to smaller trading volumes and potentially reduce mispricing risks. However, it may also hinder companies with high valuations from recovering through retail investor participation [13].
港股打新亏钱！4只新股集体破发，明基医院跌近50%创纪录