多家险资,重磅发声!
中国基金报·2025-12-23 09:51

Core Viewpoint - The discussion highlights significant changes in asset allocation for insurance capital in 2026, emphasizing the importance of equity investments while maintaining fixed income allocations. There is a recommendation to lower risk appetite and focus on assets with higher certainty [2][10][36]. Asset Allocation Considerations for 2026 - The overall investment returns in the public market for 2026 are expected to be lower than in 2025, with equity markets transitioning to profit-driven phases [10]. - Fixed income investments are anticipated to provide stable coupon income, especially with the expected interest rate cuts in the U.S. during the first half of 2026 [10][12]. - The "Three Transformations" strategy (high dividend, alternative, and international) is suggested to address the current yield curve inversion in domestic markets [12]. - The focus on alternative investments, particularly in AI, new technologies, and biopharmaceuticals, is encouraged due to government support for new productive forces [10][12]. Fixed Income Investment Strategies - Fixed income remains a favorable investment choice for 2026, with a focus on both interest rates and credit risk [18]. - The credit risk in individual companies is rising, necessitating careful management to avoid potential losses [19]. - Cash investments, such as money market funds or high-grade short-duration funds, are favored for their safety and stable returns [19][20]. Stock Investment Changes for 2026 - The risk-reward ratio in equity markets has shifted, necessitating a focus on risk identification for long-term capital [22]. - The "barbell strategy" remains effective, balancing high dividend assets with technology stocks for alpha returns [22][24]. - The potential for structural opportunities in cyclical sectors and real estate is highlighted, especially if consumer policies improve [22][24]. Technology Investment Opportunities - Technology is identified as a critical long-term investment theme, with a focus on capturing growth in AI, semiconductors, and healthcare [30][32]. - The strategy includes both primary market investments and selective secondary market opportunities, emphasizing research-driven approaches [30][31]. - The importance of understanding the business models and cash flow of technology investments is stressed to avoid high-risk speculative assets [25][32].

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