保险业激战“下半场”:服务维系生存,出海定义天花板
阿尔法工场研究院·2025-12-24 07:33

Core Viewpoint - The insurance industry is shifting its focus from scale and speed to service and internationalization, as highlighted by the recent statements from industry leaders like Yang Yucheng of Xinhua Insurance during the "14th Five-Year Plan" preparation phase [4][11]. Industry Overview - The domestic life insurance sector has transitioned from rapid growth to a period of slowing growth over the past five years, with premium income rising from 3.10 trillion yuan in 2019 to 3.54 trillion yuan in 2023, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 3.4%, significantly down from 12.2% in 2019 [5][6]. - The low interest rate environment has compressed profit margins, with the yield on ten-year government bonds fluctuating between 2.5% and 3.0% since 2020, compared to approximately 3.6% from 2014 to 2018, impacting the profitability of savings-type products [5]. Market Dynamics - The competition in the insurance market has intensified, leading to a vicious cycle of "interest rate competition, cost subsidies, and declining value rates," with new business value rates for major listed insurers dropping to 15%-26% in 2024, down from previous years [6][8]. - Regulatory measures are increasingly guiding the industry back to its core risk protection functions, with a focus on enhancing service capabilities and value creation [7][10]. Strategic Shifts - The "15th Five-Year Plan" is seen as a critical period for insurance companies to reassess their business focus, emphasizing the importance of service in the insurance operating system [7][10]. - Major state-owned insurers are adjusting their product strategies to prioritize protection and service capabilities, moving away from a sole focus on short-term financial returns [10][11]. Internationalization Efforts - The internationalization of state-owned insurance companies is no longer exploratory but has entered a strategic implementation phase, driven by both policy support and market demand [13][15]. - Different paths are being taken by major players: for instance, PICC aims for overseas business to account for 30% of its total growth within five years, while China Life and Xinhua are adopting a more cautious approach by focusing on asset investments abroad [14][15]. Future Outlook - The next five years will see competition in the insurance industry shift from a focus on product rates and scale to a comprehensive competition based on service capabilities, risk pricing abilities, and international perspectives [17]. - The ability to effectively implement service and internationalization strategies will be crucial for determining market positions and enhancing the global competitiveness of the Chinese insurance industry [17].