今夜,广期所再出手!碳酸锂狂飙破12万元,铂期货连拉三个涨停,提保扩板紧急“刹车”
券商中国·2025-12-24 15:38

Core Viewpoint - The rapid increase in lithium carbonate futures prices, which surged from approximately 90,000 yuan/ton to over 120,000 yuan/ton, has led to heightened market sentiment and prompted exchanges to implement stricter risk control measures [1][4]. Group 1: Market Regulation and Risk Control - On December 24, the Guangzhou Futures Exchange announced adjustments to trading rules for lithium carbonate futures, including increasing the minimum order size from 1 lot to 5 lots and imposing daily opening limits for non-futures company members [2][3]. - The exchange's measures aim to curb excessive speculation and prevent price distortion during periods of rapid market movement and concentrated capital [2][8]. - The exchange will dynamically adjust trading limits based on market conditions, indicating a proactive approach to maintaining market stability [4]. Group 2: Price Trends and Market Dynamics - As of December 24, the main contract for lithium carbonate rose by 5.89%, closing at 124,720 yuan/ton, with a cumulative increase of 29.35% in December, reflecting strong market performance [4][5]. - The price surge is attributed to a combination of fundamental factors and market sentiment, with expectations of production resumption at key lithium mines influencing price trends [5][6]. - Despite rising inventories among traders, the overall inventory levels in the lithium carbonate supply chain remain low, leading to continued high demand and price sensitivity [6][7]. Group 3: Future Outlook and Caution - Analysts suggest that while there is potential for further price increases due to strong demand, caution is advised as market sentiment may cool post-holiday, leading to possible price corrections [6][7]. - The expectation of robust demand in the energy storage sector and the ongoing high production rates in the battery sector contribute to a positive outlook for lithium carbonate prices in the near term [6][7].