年终盘点丨算力国产化托底,资本市场GPU新股狂飙突进
第一财经·2025-12-26 04:00

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the rapid rise of domestic AI chip manufacturers in China's stock market, highlighting the significant market interest and the challenges they face in achieving sustainable growth and market share [3][4]. Group 1: Market Performance and Expectations - In August 2025, Cambricon (688256.SH) briefly surpassed Kweichow Moutai to become the highest-priced stock in A-shares, marking a significant moment for AI chip stocks [3]. - Newly listed domestic GPU manufacturers, such as Moore Threads (688795.SH) and Muxi Technology (688802.SH), saw their stock prices surge on debut, with Muxi achieving a record profit of nearly 400,000 yuan per lot on its first trading day [3]. - As of December 24, 2025, Cambricon ranked second in A-share stock prices, with Muxi and Moore Threads following closely, all exceeding 600 yuan per share [3]. Group 2: Challenges and Market Dynamics - Despite the excitement, the entry of NVIDIA's H200 chip into the Chinese market introduces new competition for domestic GPU manufacturers, which have low market shares and face significant challenges ahead [4][7]. - The concentration of revenue among a few major clients is high, with over 70% of revenue for several manufacturers coming from their top five clients, indicating potential revenue instability [9][10]. - The market share of these domestic GPU manufacturers remains low, with Muxi holding about 1% of the AI accelerator market in 2024, and other companies like Moore Threads and Bilan Technology also reporting minimal market presence [10]. Group 3: Financial Performance - From 2022 to 2024, the annual revenues of Moore Threads, Muxi, Bilan Technology, and Tian Shu Zhi Xin grew significantly, but all companies reported substantial losses, with Moore Threads alone losing over 50 billion yuan [7][8]. - The revenue growth of these companies is primarily driven by AI data center-related products, but they still struggle with profitability and market differentiation [8][9]. Group 4: Future Prospects and Industry Trends - The domestic GPU market is expected to see a gradual increase in localization, with Tian Shu Zhi Xin projecting a rise in the domestic GPU market's localization rate from 2% in 2022 to 3.6% in 2024, and potentially exceeding 50% by 2029 [13]. - Companies are increasingly focusing on building a robust ecosystem around domestic AI chips, with collaborations between chip manufacturers and educational institutions to enhance product adoption [14][15]. - The competition is shifting from just chip performance to a broader ecosystem competition, emphasizing the importance of software integration and system-level productization [22].