央行发布重磅报告,背后信号很大
21世纪经济报道·2025-12-27 05:28

Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) released the "China Financial Stability Report (2025)", indicating that the financial system is generally stable, with overall risks under control and financial institutions operating within reasonable parameters [1]. Group 1: Financial System Stability - The report emphasizes the need for increased counter-cyclical and cross-cyclical adjustments to continuously prevent and mitigate risks in key areas, aligning with the directives from the Central Economic Work Conference and the Central Financial Work Conference [3]. - It highlights the importance of maintaining ample liquidity and promoting stable growth in social financing costs, while ensuring the stability of the RMB exchange rate [3]. Group 2: Long-term Capital Market Development - The report outlines a collaborative effort among various regulatory bodies to enhance the institutional environment for long-term investments, aiming to significantly increase the scale and proportion of long-term capital invested in A-shares [2][16]. - It stresses the importance of a healthy cycle between the preservation and appreciation of long-term capital, stable capital market operations, and high-quality development of the real economy [2][16]. Group 3: Support for Technology and Innovation - The PBOC plans to deepen financial supply-side structural reforms to support technology finance, focusing on early, small, long-term, and hard technology investments [6]. - It aims to enhance credit support for technology SMEs and promote high-quality development in the venture capital sector [6][7]. Group 4: Financing Platform Risk Mitigation - The report indicates that significant progress has been made in mitigating financing platform debt risks, with a notable reduction in the scale of operating financial debt by approximately 25% compared to the beginning of 2023 [8]. - It emphasizes the need for continued support for debt restructuring and maintaining financing for key areas and projects [9]. Group 5: Interest Rate Marketization - The PBOC is committed to advancing interest rate marketization reforms, focusing on improving the pricing capabilities of financial institutions and ensuring a balance between supporting the real economy and sustainable operations [10][11]. Group 6: Market Value Management for Listed Companies - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) has introduced a market value management system to guide listed companies in enhancing their quality and investment value [12]. - The report outlines four key areas for future work, including regular visits to listed companies, promoting quality improvements, enforcing management responsibilities, and increasing regulatory oversight to prevent market risks [12][14]. Group 7: Liquidity Risk Monitoring - The PBOC has conducted liquidity stress tests on open-ended bank wealth management products, finding that overall liquidity risks are manageable [15]. - It plans to enhance daily monitoring of liquidity risks and address potential risks arising from external shocks [15]. Group 8: Macro-Prudential and Financial Stability Functions - The PBOC aims to expand its macro-prudential and financial stability functions, continuously optimizing existing tools and exploring new financial instruments to maintain market stability [17][18].