广州经济U型回升,谁在支撑
21世纪经济报道·2025-12-29 05:40

Core Viewpoint - Guangzhou's economy is experiencing a "U-shaped" recovery, with GDP growth projected to decline to 2.1% in 2024 before rebounding to 4.1% in 2025, driven by strategic emerging industries contributing significantly to economic growth [1][3]. Group 1: Economic Performance - In the first three quarters, the "3+5" strategic emerging industries in Guangzhou achieved an added value of 751.73 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.6%, contributing 35.2% to GDP growth [1]. - The automotive industry remains a pillar, with Guangzhou's automotive manufacturing value added declining by 2.6% year-on-year, but the decline has narrowed compared to earlier in the year [3][4]. - Guangzhou's new energy vehicle production growth accelerated, with a year-on-year increase of 20.6% in the first three quarters, significantly up from 9.5% in the first half [4]. Group 2: Industry Transformation - The automotive sector is undergoing a strategic shift towards electrification, intelligence, and internationalization, aiming to create a "trillion-yuan output value, intelligent vehicle city" by 2025 [4]. - Other traditional industries, such as home appliances and display manufacturing, are also experiencing significant growth, with the display manufacturing value added increasing by 19.4% [4][5]. - The integration of traditional manufacturing with emerging industries is crucial for Guangzhou's economic recovery, supported by policies that promote collaboration across various sectors [5]. Group 3: Emerging Industries - New projects in emerging industries are being established, including the world's first G8.6 generation printed OLED production line and a flying car production facility by XPeng [7][8]. - The low-altitude economy is thriving, with over 4,200 enterprises in the sector, and significant growth in aerospace manufacturing and civilian drone production [9]. - The establishment of unicorn and specialized enterprises in emerging sectors is vital for sustaining economic growth, with a notable increase in new registrations in fields like quantum technology exceeding 243% [10].