复牌跌停后,白银基金,逼近涨停
中国基金报·2025-12-29 05:07

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the significant volatility of the Guotou Silver LOF fund after its resumption of trading, highlighting rapid price fluctuations and the impact of market sentiment on its performance [2][5]. Market Performance - On December 29, after resuming trading, Guotou Silver LOF experienced a sharp drop to the daily limit before quickly rebounding, nearing the upper limit within about twenty minutes. By midday, the market price was 2.746 yuan, reflecting an increase of 8.8% with a premium rate of 34.06% [2][3]. - The fund's circulation shares surged significantly, with over 100 million shares added on December 24 and 25 alone, bringing the total circulation to over 2.96 billion shares and a circulation scale exceeding 6 billion yuan, marking an increase of over 2.4 billion yuan since the beginning of the month [5]. Price Fluctuations - The fund's market price exhibited extreme volatility, with a premium rate climbing to 68.16% from December 22 to 24, followed by a drop to below 30% from December 25 to 26 due to consecutive trading halts [5]. - The net asset value of the fund was significantly higher than its market price, prompting the fund manager to issue multiple risk warnings and implement trading restrictions to cool down the market [5][6]. Regulatory Actions - Guotou Ruibin Fund has reduced the daily subscription limit for Class A shares from 500 yuan to 100 yuan and suspended subscriptions for Class C shares, indicating a tightening of access to the fund amid rising speculative interest [6]. - The fund has issued 17 risk warnings or announcements related to trading halts since December 2, emphasizing the risks associated with high premium rates and market volatility [5]. Market Sentiment and Risks - The influx of speculative capital into the fund reflects a distortion in pricing due to a combination of unique product mechanisms and heightened market emotions, which may not align with fundamental values [6][7]. - Experts warn that while the current market conditions may appear as opportunities for ordinary investors, they carry significant risks, particularly with the potential for sharp declines in silver prices and rapid changes in premium rates [7].