涨6%→跌6%！白银，大跳水

Group 1 - The article highlights a significant volatility in silver prices, with a sharp drop of over 6% after reaching a historical high, indicating a turbulent market environment for precious metals [1][3]. - According to the World Silver Institute, the global silver market is expected to face a supply-demand gap exceeding 100 million ounces by 2025, marking the fifth consecutive year of supply shortages [3]. - The largest silver ETF, SLV, reported a holding of 16,400 tons as of December 26, 2025, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 2%, while LBMA silver inventories have fallen to historical lows of approximately 27,000 tons [3]. Group 2 - Analysts from Huolong Futures suggest that silver is currently outperforming gold, with increased volatility and a potential "frenzy phase" in the market, advising caution for ordinary investors [4]. - The rapid price increases in silver, platinum, and palladium have led to overheating market sentiments, with the gold-silver ratio dropping below the historical average, indicating accumulating risks [4]. - The chief analyst from Guoxin Futures notes that while geopolitical uncertainties and monetary policy shifts support precious metals, the rapid price increases have diverged significantly from actual industrial consumption [4]. Group 3 - The speculative levels in nickel and palladium have reached high percentiles, exceeding 65%, suggesting that market sentiment is in a highly sensitive zone, where minor changes could trigger significant reactions [5].