2025储能十大热点出炉，它们将如何定义2026？

Core Insights - The article emphasizes that the energy storage industry is transitioning from a policy-driven model to a market-driven one, focusing on safety, cost, and economic viability as key factors for new participants [3][4][30] - It outlines ten core hotspots impacting the energy storage industry in 2025, aiming to provide a roadmap for 2026 and beyond [2] Policy Changes - The "136 Document" released on February 9, 2025, abolishes mandatory energy storage requirements for new energy projects, marking a shift towards market-driven growth [3] - The new policy is expected to lead to a surge in installations and reshape the industry's long-term growth logic [3] Industry Goals and Investments - The "New Energy Storage Scale Construction Action Plan (2025-2027)" sets a target of over 180 million kilowatts of new energy storage capacity by 2027, with an estimated direct investment of approximately 250 billion yuan [4][6] - The average annual growth rate for installed capacity is projected at 37% from 2025 to 2027 [6] Market Dynamics - The introduction of time-of-use pricing adjustments is expected to shift revenue models for energy storage, moving away from fixed peak-valley arbitrage to diversified market revenue streams [7] - The U.S. "OBBBA" Act has created uncertainties in the U.S.-China energy storage market, potentially increasing costs for U.S. projects by 30%-50% due to supply chain restrictions [8] European Market Developments - A significant power outage in Spain has highlighted the need for energy storage solutions, prompting European countries to propose policies to enhance grid stability and storage capacity [11] - The EU has set a clear target of achieving 500-780 GWh of storage capacity by 2030, indicating a long-term market opportunity for companies with technological and cost advantages [11] Emerging Opportunities - The rise of Artificial Intelligence Data Centers (AIDC) is expected to create a new market for energy storage, with projected lithium battery shipments reaching over 250 GWh by 2030, a nearly 20-fold increase from 2025 [12][14] - The focus will shift from basic power reliability to providing high availability and efficiency solutions, with technology standards and ecosystem collaboration becoming critical [14] Technological Advancements - The competition in large battery cells is intensifying, with a shift towards two mainstream specifications (587Ah and 684Ah) [17][18] - The industry is experiencing a shortage of battery cells and power conversion systems (PCS), with production capacities being stretched due to high demand [22][23] Safety Standards - Safety has become a focal point in the energy storage industry, with many leading companies conducting large-scale "burn chamber tests" to establish safety as a competitive advantage [26][27] - The upcoming 2026 NFPA 855 standard will make such testing a mandatory requirement, potentially changing industry practices [27] Conclusion - The energy storage industry is poised for a significant transformation in 2026, moving from a focus on scale to one centered on value, as highlighted by the upcoming summit in Shenzhen [30]