重磅研判！2026年或将出现中国资产整体性的价值重估

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is expected to continue its upward trend in 2026, with a focus on technology growth, resource sectors, and high-dividend stocks as key investment themes [2][10][18]. Group 1: Market Outlook for 2026 - The overall A-share market is anticipated to remain strong, with a shift from a policy-driven to a fundamentals-driven growth narrative [12][20]. - The global monetary environment is expected to be supportive, with the U.S. in a rate-cutting cycle, providing liquidity for the market [19]. - Structural opportunities and upward pressures will coexist, with challenges increasing in complexity [8][19]. Group 2: Investment Strategies - A balanced allocation between value and growth stocks, as well as large-cap and small-cap stocks, is recommended for 2026 [14][25]. - The focus on technology growth remains strong, particularly in AI, semiconductors, and new energy sectors, benefiting from global capital expenditure expansion and domestic policy support [20][30]. - High-dividend stocks are seen as stabilizers in the investment portfolio, especially in a low-interest-rate environment [30][21]. Group 3: Key Sectors to Watch - AI is expected to remain a primary growth driver, with specific attention to areas such as optical communication, storage chips, and domestic computing power breakthroughs [27][30]. - The innovation drug sector is highlighted as a long-term focus, supported by domestic healthcare policies [28]. - Resource sectors, including industrial metals and precious metals, are projected to benefit from supply chain restructuring and AI demand [30][21]. Group 4: Hong Kong Market Outlook - The Hong Kong market is expected to experience a new trend driven by valuation recovery, profit growth, and a return to AI as a main theme [32][34]. - Key investment opportunities in Hong Kong are anticipated in technology, resources, and healthcare sectors, with a focus on high-dividend stocks [36][37]. - The influx of capital from mainland China is expected to continue supporting the Hong Kong market [33][34].