430亿元！公募新年入市资金来了

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the anticipated influx of public funds into the market in 2026, driven by the launch of ETFs and actively managed equity funds, with a total expected scale exceeding 430 billion yuan by the end of 2025 [1][6]. Group 1: ETF Market - Six ETFs are set to launch in the first week of 2026, with a total funding of over 20 billion yuan, including significant contributions from individual investors [3][9]. - The total scale of the 16 ETFs expected to enter the market after New Year's is nearly 50 billion yuan, with a focus on technology and innovation sectors [3][6]. - The stock positions of these ETFs are currently low, indicating potential for future growth as they begin to deploy their capital [3][5]. Group 2: Actively Managed Equity Funds - Over 66 actively managed equity funds were established by the end of December 2025, with a total fundraising of approximately 387.35 billion yuan, contributing significantly to the market [4][5]. - The average return of these newly established funds is relatively low, suggesting that a substantial portion of the raised capital is yet to be invested [5]. Group 3: Potential for Increased Investment - There is a significant potential for "deposit migration" into the market, with estimates suggesting an additional 2 trillion to 4 trillion yuan could flow into non-fixed deposit investments in 2026 [10]. - The total scale of ETFs reached over 6 trillion yuan by the end of 2025, with nearly 1 trillion yuan added during that year, indicating strong investor interest [10]. Group 4: Market Dynamics and Future Outlook - The market is expected to shift its driving factors from valuation to profitability, with anticipated recovery in earnings growth and return on equity (ROE) levels in 2026 [11][12]. - The technology investment landscape is expected to become more challenging in 2026, requiring precise industry timing and stock selection to achieve excess returns [13].