曝光！马杜罗首次发声：新年快乐！委内瑞拉副总统在俄境内？俄方回应！油价，重大变数

Core Viewpoint - The situation in Venezuela has drawn global attention, particularly following the reported capture of President Maduro by U.S. forces, which may significantly impact the global oil market due to Venezuela's vast oil reserves [1][2][6]. Group 1: U.S. Military Action and Maduro's Capture - A video released by the U.S. White House shows Maduro being escorted to the DEA office, marking his first public appearance after being captured [2][3]. - The U.S. military launched a large-scale operation in Venezuela, resulting in the capture of Maduro and his wife, with President Trump stating that the U.S. will "manage" Venezuela until a "safe" transition occurs [6][4]. - Venezuela's Vice President, Delcy Rodriguez, has been appointed to assume presidential duties, claiming that the U.S. aims to overthrow the Venezuelan government to seize its oil and natural resources [4][6]. Group 2: Impact on Oil Prices - Venezuela holds approximately 303 billion barrels of proven oil reserves, accounting for one-fifth of the global total, which could make it a more significant oil supplier if U.S. plans succeed [7]. - Analysts predict that the current geopolitical event will not lead to a significant spike in oil prices due to an oversupply in the market and weak demand [7][8]. - The Brent crude oil price is expected to rise only slightly, by $1 to $2, following the military action, with predictions indicating it may remain below $60.75 per barrel [8]. Group 3: Long-term Market Implications - The potential for Venezuela's oil production to increase could further suppress oil prices in the long run, despite the immediate geopolitical tensions [9]. - The ongoing geopolitical risks, including the situation in Venezuela, are likely to influence market dynamics, with analysts noting that the market is currently facing unprecedented news risks compared to previous U.S. administrations [9].