市场做多情绪浓厚！公募：高景气行业行情有望延续

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is expected to enter a new phase in 2026, with strong bullish sentiment and potential for high-growth sectors to continue performing well, driven by policy support and structural changes in the economy [2][4]. Market Sentiment - During the New Year holiday, the Hang Seng Tech Index rose by 4%, and the Nasdaq China Tech Index increased by 4.81%, indicating a strong bullish sentiment in the market [2][4]. - In 2025, 90 funds saw their annual returns double, with the top-performing fund achieving a 233.29% increase in net value [3]. Sector Performance - High-performing sectors in 2025 included computing power, humanoid robots, innovative pharmaceuticals, non-ferrous metals, and new consumption, which contributed to significant returns for funds focused on these areas [3][6]. - The market is expected to shift from valuation-driven growth to a healthier model driven by fundamentals and structural reforms, with a focus on long-term growth sectors such as new energy and innovative pharmaceuticals [6]. Economic Outlook - The economic growth engine is transitioning from monetary easing to credit expansion, with credit resources expected to flow more precisely into new productive sectors, aiding the recovery of the real economy [5]. - A significant increase in credit issuance is anticipated in January, potentially reaching 3-4 trillion yuan, which could benefit both the A-share and Hong Kong markets [5]. Investment Opportunities - There is a focus on sectors with long-term growth potential, including technology and consumption, with an emphasis on companies that are expanding globally [6]. - The investment community is particularly interested in themes such as commercial aerospace and low-altitude economy, which are expected to gain traction in 2026 [6]. Risks and Concerns - Fund managers express concerns about the potential negative impacts of a real estate downturn, uncertainties in US-China trade relations, and the risk of over-investment in certain AI sectors [7]. - Close attention is required regarding changes in capital expenditure in the AI sector, as any weakening could significantly alter investment logic [7].