中国顺差4成来自一带一路沿线，超美国

Core Viewpoint - China is significantly increasing its exports to countries along the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), with over 40% of its trade surplus in 2025 coming from these nations, surpassing its trade surplus with the United States [2][6]. Group 1: Trade Dynamics - In 2025, the proportion of China's trade surplus with the United States dropped to 24%, a decrease of over 10 percentage points from 2024, marking a significant decline from over 90% in 2018 [2][6]. - Exports to BRI countries grew by 11.6% year-on-year in the first 11 months of 2025, outpacing the overall export growth rate of 5.4% [5]. - The trade surplus with BRI countries reached approximately $480 billion in the same period, accounting for 45% of China's total trade surplus, an increase of 16 percentage points from 2024 and the highest since 2013 [5][9]. Group 2: Investment Trends - China's investment in BRI countries, including construction contracts, reached $124 billion in the first half of 2025, the highest since 2013, with a notable increase in investments in resource-rich African nations [9]. - The Chinese government is focusing on enhancing its influence through infrastructure and decarbonization investments in BRI countries, particularly in Southeast Asia and Africa [4][9]. Group 3: Geopolitical Context - The ongoing trade friction with the United States has led China to strengthen its trade relationships with countries outside the U.S., particularly in Asia, such as Vietnam and Cambodia [8]. - Following a temporary reduction in tariffs after a summit in October 2025, the impact of U.S.-China trade tensions continues to affect China's export strategies [8].