乘联分会·2026-01-05 08:46Core Viewpoint - The article predicts a 25% growth in China's new energy passenger vehicle market sales by 2025, aligning with the "14th Five-Year Plan" expectations for the new energy vehicle market [2]. Group 1: Market Trends - December marks a peak buying season for new energy vehicles as the vehicle purchase tax exemption policy expires, but market dynamics are affected by adjustments in vehicle replacement and trade-in subsidies, leading to a noticeable divergence in market trends [2]. - Major manufacturers have adjusted their production schedules to reduce inventory, preparing for a strong start in the "15th Five-Year Plan" [2]. Group 2: Sales Performance - In December, several key manufacturers, including Tesla, Seres, NIO, and others, achieved record high wholesale sales for new energy vehicles, contributing to a structural growth in the market [2]. - BYD's exports reached 133,000 units in December, a year-on-year increase of 75,000 units, significantly boosting the overall sales growth of new energy passenger vehicles by 4% [2]. Group 3: Sales Data - According to the latest data, the wholesale sales of new energy passenger vehicles in December are estimated at 1.57 million units, representing a 4% year-on-year growth but an 8% month-on-month decline [3]. - Cumulatively, the wholesale sales of new energy passenger vehicles for the year 2025 are projected to reach 15.33 million units, reflecting a 25% year-on-year increase [3].