Core Viewpoint - The first fuel price adjustment of 2026 has been suspended due to insufficient price changes in the international oil market, with the adjustment amount being less than 50 yuan per ton [3][4]. Group 1: Fuel Price Adjustment - The average price of crude oil in the first ten working days of January 2026 was $60.24 per barrel, showing a slight increase of 0.76% compared to the previous cycle [4]. - The next retail fuel price adjustment window will open on January 20, 2026, with a high probability of an increase in fuel prices due to ongoing supply risks and geopolitical tensions [6][7]. Group 2: Global Oil Market Dynamics - The International Energy Agency (IEA) predicts a daily surplus of crude oil in the market ranging from 3.8 million to 4.09 million barrels, accounting for 4% of global demand, indicating a prevailing oversupply situation [5]. - OPEC+ has decided to maintain its production plan established in November 2025 and will continue to suspend production increases in February and March 2026, which may support oil prices in the short term [5][6].
今年首次成品油调价搁浅，但机构预计下次调价可能涨
第一财经·2026-01-06 12:49