消息人士：中方正研究收紧对日稀土出口许可审查

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese government is considering tightening export license reviews for certain heavy rare earth items due to Japan's recent poor performance, which could significantly impact Japan's economy [1]. Group 1: Export Control Measures - On April 4, 2025, China will implement export control measures on seven categories of heavy rare earth items, including samarium, gadolinium, terbium, dysprosium, lutetium, scandium, and yttrium, as per the Export Control Law [1]. - The Ministry of Commerce has previously stated that Japan's political actions have severely damaged Sino-Japanese relations, and if Japan continues its current stance, China will take necessary measures [1]. Group 2: Economic Impact on Japan - According to Nomura Research Institute, Japan relies almost 100% on China for heavy rare earths like dysprosium and terbium used in electric vehicle drive motor neodymium magnets, indicating a significant risk to Japan's economy if exports are restricted [1]. - If China imposes a three-month restriction on rare earth exports to Japan, it could result in a loss of approximately 660 billion yen, leading to a 0.11% decline in both nominal and real GDP [1]. - Should the restriction last for a year, the estimated loss would reach around 2.6 trillion yen, causing a 0.43% decrease in nominal and real GDP [1].