你的同事可能不是人，你的文凭可能是废纸：2026年的10个终极预测……

Group 1: Core Predictions - The article presents ten disruptive predictions for 2026, categorized into three dimensions: intelligence, economy, and physics [5][7] - The predictions emphasize a significant transformation in AI capabilities, economic structures, and human interaction with technology [19][27] Group 2: Intelligence Explosion - Prediction 1 states that AI model sizes will increase by 100 times due to advancements in software and algorithms, particularly through quantization techniques [10][11] - Prediction 2 suggests that AI may solve long-standing mathematical problems, such as the Navier-Stokes equations, leading to breakthroughs in various scientific fields [12][15] - Prediction 3 indicates the emergence of new AI terminologies that could create young billionaires, highlighting the potential for individual entrepreneurs to build significant companies with minimal resources [16][18] Group 3: Economic Reconstruction - Prediction 4 declares the death of digital transformation, with companies expected to rebuild capabilities from scratch using AI, leading to a drastic reduction in workforce size [19][20] - Prediction 5 forecasts that automation will achieve a 90% competency rate in knowledge work, fundamentally altering job roles and the value of human labor [22] - Prediction 6 anticipates a future where AI employees could replace traditional roles at a low cost, challenging the trust dynamics in remote work environments [23] Group 4: Physical Breakthroughs - Prediction 8 discusses the potential for billionaires to race for resources on the Moon, particularly water ice, which could revolutionize space economics [29][31] - Prediction 9 predicts advancements in Level 5 autonomous driving and robotics, transforming urban landscapes and labor dynamics [33][34] - Prediction 10 envisions breakthroughs in reversing aging, potentially leading to significant extensions in human lifespan and altering the concept of mortality [35][36] Group 5: Overall Implications - The predictions collectively illustrate a future characterized by extreme abundance and rapid obsolescence, where traditional social contracts and business models may collapse [38] - The article emphasizes the need for ambition, taste, and leadership as essential qualities for navigating the upcoming changes [38][39]