13个精算师·2026-01-07 11:03Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of analyzing the long-term payout capabilities and operational stability of insurance companies when evaluating dividend insurance products, rather than solely relying on high demonstration rates presented during sales [1][3]. Group 1: Sales Demonstration Rates - The sales demonstration rate of dividend insurance reflects the insurance company's expectations of future long-term investment returns, based on its asset allocation strategy and market conditions [3][5]. - In the current industry context, products with lower predetermined interest rates can exhibit higher sales demonstration rates due to reduced payout pressure and increased flexibility in equity asset allocation [5][10]. Group 2: Investment Strategy - Insurance companies are adjusting their asset allocation strategies in response to lower predetermined interest rates, decreasing reliance on fixed-income assets and increasing exposure to equity assets to enhance overall investment returns [5][10]. - The average return on equity assets in the insurance industry from 2007 to 2024 is 10%, but it exhibits significant annual volatility, highlighting the risks associated with high equity exposure [10][11]. Group 3: Evaluating Insurance Companies - When selecting a strong dividend insurance company, it is crucial to consider historical dividend realization rates, investment performance stability, and overall operational strength, rather than just high demonstration rates [15][16]. - The "13精" framework provides a detailed evaluation of insurance companies' dividend strength, focusing on long-term dividend realization rates, long-term investment returns, solvency adequacy, and overall operational stability [20][21].