特朗普威胁“吞并”格陵兰岛，六种棋局推演

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the geopolitical implications of the U.S. interest in Greenland, highlighting the reactions from Denmark and other Nordic countries, as well as potential strategies the U.S. might employ to assert control over the territory [3][4]. Group 1: U.S. Interest in Greenland - The U.S. government's interest in Greenland is driven by national security, military strategy, and resource acquisition [6][7]. - Geographically, Greenland is a strategic location for monitoring military activities in the North Atlantic and Arctic regions, making it crucial for U.S. defense [6]. - Greenland is rich in mineral resources, including rare earth elements and potential oil and gas reserves, which are vital for U.S. high-tech industries [7]. - Climate change is opening new shipping routes through the Arctic, further increasing Greenland's strategic importance for both commercial and military purposes [7]. Group 2: Historical Context of U.S. Interest - The U.S. has historically shown interest in acquiring Greenland, with attempts dating back to the 19th century, including proposals from various administrations [8][9]. - Trump's administration has revived this interest, with explicit statements about the importance of Greenland to U.S. national security and discussions of potential military options [9]. Group 3: Potential Strategies for U.S. Control - Six potential strategies for U.S. control over Greenland are outlined, with varying degrees of feasibility: 1. Military Occupation: Considered the least likely due to international backlash and potential NATO implications [11]. 2. Incorporation through Independence: If Greenland were to gain independence, it could choose to join the U.S., which would be legally permissible [11][12]. 3. Purchase Agreement: Similar to past U.S. territorial acquisitions, but complicated by Greenland's autonomy [12]. 4. Free Association Model: Allowing Greenland to retain its sovereignty while granting the U.S. certain rights, which aligns with public sentiment in Greenland [14]. 5. Lease Agreement: A temporary arrangement where the U.S. manages Greenland's administration while Denmark retains sovereignty [14]. 6. Expanded U.S. Privileges: Pressuring Denmark to grant the U.S. more rights in Greenland without formal annexation [14][15].