聚焦全球变局与产业升级 天弘基金2026年策略会勾勒投资新蓝图
中国基金报·2026-01-08 08:12

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the ongoing global economic transformation characterized by "diversification" and "restructuring," driven by the AI wave and global re-industrialization, which is reshaping supply chains and creating investment opportunities in the context of China's "14th Five-Year Plan" [2] Group 1: Equity Investment - The rapid penetration of artificial intelligence (AI) into the economy is highlighted, with the U.S. and China being at the forefront of AI development, focusing on advanced manufacturing, quantum technology, biomanufacturing, chips, new materials, and nuclear fusion [4][5] - The investment logic in AI is shifting from hardware to software and applications, with a focus on domestic chip performance improvement, semiconductor equipment, and potential breakout applications in AI [13] - Global re-industrialization is driving demand across the entire advanced manufacturing supply chain, particularly for industrial metals like copper, lithium, cobalt, aluminum, and nickel, with a favorable investment outlook for Chinese power grid equipment, chemicals, commercial vehicles, and lithium battery storage [14] Group 2: Bond Investment - The bond market is transitioning back to a "traditional" state, focusing on coupon income and stable management, as the market experiences a shift from a capital gains-driven environment to one led by banks emphasizing funding costs [16][17] - The investment outlook for bonds in 2026 is expected to improve compared to 2025, with higher short- and medium-term interest rates and more rational institutional expectations [17]