Novoray(SH:688300) 证券时报·2026-01-09 10:45Core Viewpoint - The launch of Lianrui Convertible Bond marks the beginning of the 2026 convertible bond issuance, with expectations for increased issuance scale and market performance in the coming year [1][4]. Group 1: Lianrui Convertible Bond Details - Lianrui Convertible Bond, issued by Lianrui New Materials, has a total issuance amount of 695 million yuan, with funds allocated for high-performance materials projects and working capital [3]. - The company is a leader in inorganic non-metallic powder materials, benefiting from the growth in AI computing power and domestic substitution trends, with a reported revenue of 824 million yuan and a net profit of 220 million yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, reflecting year-on-year growth of 18.76% and 19.01% respectively [4]. - The bond attracted 9.2173 million investors, setting a record for subscription numbers since October 2023, with a low winning rate of 0.0009% [4]. Group 2: Market Trends and Issuance Pace - The pace of convertible bond issuance is accelerating, with 35 companies having announced issuance plans since October 2025, totaling a scale of 37.247 billion yuan [6]. - An additional 11 companies have received approval for their issuance plans since November 2025, with a combined issuance scale of 10.249 billion yuan [6]. - The total planned issuance from companies like Zhenhua Co., Yilian Technology, and others indicates a growing trend, with Yilian Technology planning the largest issuance of 1.2 billion yuan [7]. Group 3: Market Supply and Demand Dynamics - Despite the increase in issuance plans, the market remains characterized by a supply-demand imbalance, with 411 existing convertible bonds and a total balance of 556.015 billion yuan as of January 9 [10]. - The demand for convertible bonds remains strong, particularly in a volatile stock market, but the limited supply has led to inflated prices for some popular bonds, increasing investment risks [11]. - The exit of convertible bonds through forced redemption is expected to continue, with a significant number maturing in 2026, potentially exacerbating the supply-demand imbalance [11]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The issuance volume of convertible bonds is expected to increase in 2026, with a projected annual issuance scale of around 60 billion yuan if the growth rate remains consistent with 2025 [8][12]. - The low-interest-rate environment and potential regulatory easing may further stimulate demand for convertible bonds, particularly from companies in high-end manufacturing and technology sectors [12].