从“贝塔躺赢”到“阿尔法精选”！公募2026年南下新打法曝光

Core Viewpoint - The logic of industry-themed funds is changing, moving away from a passive "beta" strategy focused on popular sectors, and towards a more active search for "alpha" opportunities within industries as public funds increasingly focus on performance-driven investments by 2026 [1][2]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - The simple strategy of investing in popular sectors for easy gains has ended, with a shift towards showcasing fund managers' stock-picking abilities in an "alpha" market [2]. - The 2025 annual ranking of Hong Kong QDII funds showed that industry allocation was key to the top-performing funds, indicating a transition to a more competitive investment landscape [2]. - The influx of southbound capital into Hong Kong stocks in 2025 has started to influence pricing in popular sectors, but the market is expected to balance between southbound and foreign capital in 2026 [3]. Group 2: Investment Strategy - Fund managers are now less willing to invest based on "stories" and are demanding tangible performance metrics, indicating a shift towards profitability-driven investments [4]. - The 2026 investment landscape will likely see reduced opportunities for broad-based gains across sectors, with a greater emphasis on individual company performance [4]. - The focus will be on companies that can demonstrate real financial performance rather than those that rely solely on narrative-driven growth [6]. Group 3: Sector-Specific Insights - The importance of overseas business development (BD) deals is highlighted, as they serve as a credibility endorsement for domestic innovative drug companies, impacting their valuation [7]. - In the AI sector, while hardware remains a strong investment, concerns about the application side's profitability are emerging, suggesting a need for careful evaluation of cash flow sources [7]. - The investment strategy for 2026 will emphasize a balanced approach, combining growth-oriented investments with high-dividend stocks to manage risk and return effectively [8]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The market is expected to transition from extreme growth to a more balanced strategy, with a focus on sectors that are currently undervalued and have potential for recovery [8]. - Fund managers are advised to explore non-consensus opportunities, particularly in consumer sectors that are at historical low levels of market expectations and institutional holdings [8].