Core Viewpoint - Elon Musk predicts that the "singularity" of artificial intelligence (AI) has already arrived, leading to a fundamental change in the value of money and material possessions, making saving money meaningless [3][6]. Group 1: Predictions on AI and Robotics - Musk forecasts that Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) will be achieved by 2026, significantly earlier than most mainstream predictions which suggest post-2030 [3]. - He claims that AI is accelerating at an "exponential tsunami" pace, with Grok 5 expected to be released in the first quarter of this year, capable of analyzing circuit diagrams for errors [3]. - Currently, AI can perform about 50% of digital tasks, and once humanoid robots like Optimus can manipulate atoms, blue-collar jobs will also be automated [3]. Group 2: Changes in Economic Concepts - Musk believes that the concept of money will eventually disappear, as AI and robotics will fulfill all human needs, drastically reducing the relevance of money [6]. - He suggests that energy will become the primary measure of currency, as production costs approach zero due to advancements in AI and robotics, leading to a significant drop in prices [6]. - Musk envisions a self-sustaining cycle where AI and robots produce essential goods, detaching from the traditional monetary system [6]. Group 3: Future of Work and Healthcare - Musk predicts that in less than 20 years, work will become optional, akin to a hobby, as productivity increases [9]. - He asserts that robotic surgeons will surpass human doctors in precision and performance within the next 3 to 4 years, providing everyone with access to high-quality medical services [4][7]. - The development of surgical robots will render medical school education less relevant, as these robots will accumulate vast experience through shared knowledge [7]. Group 4: Energy as Currency - Musk posits that energy will be the true currency of the future, with solar energy potentially being free and abundant due to advancements in technology [9]. - He advocates for the deployment of solar AI satellites to enhance existing power grid efficiency, suggesting a need for approximately 8,000 launches to establish this system [10].
马斯克称AGI今年就将实现!20年内所有商品服务都将接近免费
第一财经·2026-01-11 12:54