Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the ongoing unrest in Iran, driven by rising prices and currency devaluation, which has led to widespread protests and significant political implications for the Middle East [3]. Economic Conditions - Iran's GDP per capita in 2025 is approximately $4,070, a decline from 2024 and significantly lower than the peaks in 2011 and 2012 [5]. - The Iranian rial depreciated over one-third against the dollar in 2025, with the exchange rate reaching around 1.5 million rials per dollar [5]. - The inflation rate in December 2025 reached 52% year-on-year, severely impacting the purchasing power of ordinary Iranians, whose monthly salaries are around $100 [5][7]. Protests and Government Response - Protests began on December 28, 2025, with merchants in Tehran's Grand Bazaar closing shops in response to currency devaluation and rising prices [5][7]. - The Iranian government announced a subsidy of 10 million rials (approximately 48 RMB) per month for eligible citizens starting January 10, 2026, to alleviate economic burdens, but many citizens view this as insufficient [7][8]. - The government has implemented a nationwide internet shutdown to control the protests, which has been more severe than previous instances in 2019 [8]. External Influences - The protests are believed to be influenced by external forces, particularly the United States and Israel, with Iranian officials claiming these countries are orchestrating the unrest [11][12]. - U.S. President Trump has threatened intervention in Iran, indicating that military options are being considered, which could escalate tensions in the region [12][13]. Political Dynamics - Iranian President Pezeshkian emphasizes the need to combat corruption and improve living conditions as a means to address the unrest [12]. - The Iranian government is currently navigating a critical phase of external economic warfare and internal political challenges, seeking unity among various political factions [12].
巴扎商人点燃“火药桶”，美以干涉伊朗迫在眉睫？
第一财经·2026-01-12 00:14