欧盟碳边境调节机制正式落地对我国影响几何

Core Viewpoint - The implementation of the EU Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) starting January 1 will significantly impact China's high-carbon industries, particularly steel and aluminum exports to the EU, which account for approximately 3.5% of China's total exports to the EU [2][3]. Group 1: Short-term Impact - The short-term pressure from CBAM is manageable, with the initial carbon cost set at a base rate of 2.5%, allowing companies some time to adapt [3]. - Companies that have not undertaken energy-saving and carbon-reduction transformations will face the most significant challenges, especially those relying on default values for carbon emissions reporting [2][3]. - The default emission values set by the EU are particularly high for Chinese products, creating a barrier for exports [2][3]. Group 2: Carbon Management and Compliance - Exporting companies must shift from relying on default values to establishing their own carbon data monitoring and reporting systems to avoid increased carbon costs [5]. - Over 90% of Chinese companies used global average default values during the trial phase, which will lead to higher costs once country-specific default values are published [5]. - Companies are encouraged to engage with third-party certification bodies to enhance the credibility and compliance of their carbon data [5]. Group 3: Long-term Strategy - In the long term, companies need to focus on low-carbon transformation as a key strategic direction for sustainable development [8]. - The expansion of CBAM to include 180 downstream products by 2028 will increase the complexity of carbon footprint calculations, necessitating a comprehensive approach to carbon management across the supply chain [8]. - Companies should evaluate potential partners based on their carbon data transparency and low-carbon transition plans to ensure compliance and competitiveness [8]. Group 4: External Environment and Policy Recommendations - There is a call for the improvement of the domestic carbon market and the introduction of quota auction mechanisms to create a more competitive environment for companies [9]. - Diplomatic efforts are suggested to negotiate with the EU for recognition of China's carbon pricing, which could alleviate some of the carbon cost burdens on Chinese exporters [9]. - The Chinese government aims to maintain fair trade practices and protect the interests of its enterprises while addressing global climate change challenges [9].