专家预计人民币汇率将温和升值

Group 1 - The article discusses the ongoing trend of the weakening dominance of the US dollar and the potential for the Chinese yuan (RMB) to appreciate, particularly in the context of the recent economic forum held in Shanghai [1] - Experts predict that the RMB will continue to appreciate in 2026, with varying opinions on the extent of this appreciation, ranging from 2%-3% annually to a potential total appreciation of over 30% in the next decade [3][4] - The depreciation of the US dollar is expected to lead to the appreciation of non-US currencies, including the RMB, which has already crossed the 7 mark against the dollar [3][4] Group 2 - Zhao Wei, Chief Economist at Shenwan Hongyuan Securities, anticipates an annual appreciation of 2%-3% for the RMB against the USD, with a total appreciation of over 30% over ten years [3] - Yang Delong, Chief Economist at Qianhai Kaiyuan Fund, emphasizes that the decline of the US dollar index will drive the appreciation of the RMB, which is already evident [3] - Goldman Sachs' Chief Economist for China, Shan Hui, projects that the RMB will reach approximately 6.85 against the USD by the end of 2026, indicating a controlled impact of the appreciation on export companies [3][4]