57家上市公司预亏，疫苗龙头首亏超百亿，有公司净利大增14倍

Core Viewpoint - The A-share annual report performance forecast season is witnessing an unusual trend where companies announcing losses are doing so simultaneously with those reporting gains, breaking the traditional pattern of early positive disclosures and delayed negative ones [1][2]. Group 1: Pre-Loss Companies - As of January 13, 2026, 105 companies have released performance forecasts for 2025, with 57 companies (54.29%) announcing losses, including 42 continuing losses and 15 first-time losses [1][3]. - The losses are concentrated in traditional cyclical industries, particularly real estate, where all six companies that disclosed forecasts reported losses, resulting in a 100% loss rate [3]. - Leading real estate company Greenland Holdings is projected to incur a net loss of 16 billion to 19 billion yuan for 2025, marking its third consecutive year of losses due to declining asset prices and insufficient market demand [3][4]. Group 2: Pre-Gain Companies - In contrast, companies reporting gains are primarily from resource and technology sectors, benefiting from rising commodity prices and technological innovations [8]. - The non-ferrous metals industry is a key driver of profit growth, with Zijin Mining expected to achieve a net profit of 51 billion to 52 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 59% to 62% [9]. - Technology firms like Sanhua Intelligent Control are also expected to see significant profit increases, with projected growth of 25% to 50% due to advancements in automotive components for new energy vehicles [9][10]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - The unusual disclosure pattern is attributed to increased regulatory pressure and a push for greater market transparency, encouraging companies to disclose negative information earlier to mitigate stock price volatility [14]. - Economic factors and industry cycles are contributing to a widening loss landscape, with demand falling short of expectations, particularly in traditional consumer sectors [14]. - Market sentiment is improving, with expectations for a recovery in corporate earnings in 2026, driven by increased investor confidence and capital inflows [15].