2026年新型储能十大预测

Core Viewpoint - The new energy storage industry is at a critical juncture in 2026, transitioning towards market-oriented independence amidst the dissolution of old paradigms and the construction of new models [2]. Group 1: Global Energy Storage Market - The global new energy storage installed capacity is expected to reach 123.87GW/392.76GWh in 2026, with a growth rate of 42% [4]. - The global commercial and industrial (C&I) storage market is projected to grow significantly, with an expected installed capacity of 30.14GWh in 2026, representing a year-on-year increase of 58.96% [7]. - By 2030, the global new energy storage installed capacity is anticipated to reach 850.5GWh, indicating a robust growth trajectory [6]. Group 2: China's Energy Storage Market - In China, the C&I storage market is expected to achieve an installed capacity of 12.11GWh in 2025, with a growth rate of 61.4% [11]. - The transition from a single peak-valley price profit model to a diversified revenue model is anticipated as the market reforms accelerate [13]. - The capacity price mechanism reform is expected to stimulate independent storage, with various provinces introducing capacity compensation policies [16]. Group 3: Technological Advancements - The integration of AI and digital technologies is becoming a key trend in the evolution of energy storage systems, enhancing operational efficiency and predictive capabilities [29]. - The development of long-duration energy storage solutions is expected to gain momentum, with over 30GWh of new installations projected for 2026 [22]. - The competitive landscape is shifting towards a focus on technological capabilities, project experience, and financial strength among leading firms [35]. Group 4: Market Dynamics and Competition - The energy storage market is experiencing a significant reshaping, with a wave of new entrants leading to a temporary dilution of market concentration [33]. - As the market matures, competition will increasingly focus on understanding electricity market rules, operational capabilities, and customized solutions for specific scenarios [35]. - The emergence of virtual power plants is expected to open new market opportunities for C&I storage, transitioning from a single revenue model to a more diversified approach [27].