欧盟气候监测机构发布报告

Core Insights - The European Union's Copernicus Climate Change Service reports that 2025 is projected to be the third hottest year on record, with global average temperatures exceeding pre-industrial levels by more than 1.5 degrees Celsius for the first time in a three-year period from 2023 to 2025 [1][2] - The global average temperature for 2025 is estimated at 14.97 degrees Celsius, only 0.01 degrees lower than 2023 and 0.13 degrees lower than the record set in 2024 [1] - The report indicates that the past 11 years have been the warmest on record, with 2025's surface temperature 1.47 degrees Celsius higher than pre-industrial levels, compared to 1.6 degrees Celsius in 2024 [1] Temperature Records - The report highlights that 2025 will see record average temperatures in Antarctica and the second highest average temperatures in the Arctic region [2] - In February 2025, the combined sea ice coverage in both polar regions is expected to drop to the lowest level since satellite observations began in the late 1970s [2] Contributing Factors - The report attributes the unusually warm global temperatures over the past three years to multiple factors, including the continuous accumulation of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere and weakened natural carbon sinks [2] - Additionally, ocean surface temperatures have reached abnormally high levels, influenced by El Niño events and other oceanic changes exacerbated by climate change [2] - Other factors such as aerosols, low clouds, and atmospheric circulation fluctuations also impact temperature [2] Management Implications - Carlo Buontempo, director of the Copernicus Climate Change Service, emphasizes the clear trend of rising temperatures and the need for better management of potential overheating and its impacts on social and natural systems [2]