21世纪经济报道·2026-01-15 12:10Core Viewpoint - The negotiations regarding the EU's anti-subsidy measures on Chinese electric vehicles have made significant progress, with the EU set to issue guidelines for price commitment applications, allowing Chinese manufacturers to potentially avoid high tariffs by committing to minimum pricing [1][3]. Group 1: Background and Developments - The EU initiated an anti-subsidy investigation into Chinese electric vehicles in October 2023, leading to the imposition of high tariffs starting October 2024, with rates as high as 35.3% for non-cooperating companies [3]. - The recent agreement allows Chinese electric vehicle manufacturers to submit price commitments based on the EU's guidelines, which could replace the anti-subsidy tariffs [3][4]. - The agreement is seen as a "soft landing" for the ongoing trade tensions, with experts noting that it reflects a cooperative outcome between China and the EU [1][4]. Group 2: Market Implications - The new pricing commitments may not significantly alter the selling prices of Chinese electric vehicles in Europe, but they provide a more stable policy environment for long-term operations [4]. - The average selling price of Chinese electric vehicles in Europe is projected to be around €25,000 by 2025, compared to €30,000 for all imported electric vehicles [4]. - Chinese manufacturers have been facing an average price increase of 118% when selling vehicles in Europe compared to domestic prices, but the new agreement could allow for better profit margins [5]. Group 3: Industry Dynamics - The EU's policy aims to prevent aggressive price competition from Chinese manufacturers that could harm local automotive industries, while still allowing for a degree of flexibility in pricing [4][5]. - European automakers, such as Volkswagen and BMW, are expected to benefit from the revised tariff policies, as they have established production facilities in China and can leverage these changes for exports [6][12]. - The collaboration between Chinese and European automakers is anticipated to deepen, with joint ventures and investments in technology and production facilities becoming more common [13].