新华网财经·2026-01-15 14:03Core Viewpoint - The deposit market is undergoing significant changes in 2026, with large-denomination certificates of deposit (CDs) experiencing a downward trend in interest rates, leading to some small and medium-sized banks offering 3-month products with rates falling below 1%, officially entering the "0" range [2][3]. Group 1: Changes in Deposit Products - The decline in interest rates for short-term large-denomination CDs is a notable market phenomenon, marking the first occurrence in recent years [3]. - This shift is altering depositors' perceptions of "high-interest deposits" and is driving a restructuring wave in the asset allocation of the entire wealth management market [4]. - Over 40 banks have announced the issuance of large-denomination CDs in early 2026, with significant changes in both "term" and "interest rate" compared to previous years. Most banks are focusing on products with a term of one year or less, while the issuance of three-year products has sharply decreased, and five-year products are nearly extinct [5]. Group 2: Interest Rate Trends - The interest rates for three-year products are generally below 2%, with one-year rates often falling below 1.5%, and rates for products with a term of one year or less have dropped below 1% [5]. - Major banks have collectively removed five-year large-denomination CDs from sale, with available products typically having a term of three years or less. For instance, the Industrial and Commercial Bank of China and China Construction Bank offer three-year CDs at a rate of 1.55%, while one-month and three-month CDs from several major banks have rates of 0.9% [5]. Group 3: Market Dynamics and Future Outlook - The interest rate gap between newly issued large-denomination CDs and regular fixed-term deposits is narrowing, indicating a deepening trend of declining deposit rates as 2026 begins [7]. - The decline in large-denomination CD rates is attributed to multiple factors, including the pressure on banks' net interest margins, leading them to lower long-term high-cost liabilities and adjust rates downward [8]. - Regulatory efforts to curb irrational deposit competition among banks have also played a role in suppressing high-interest deposit strategies [8]. - There is a growing trend of private negotiations for high-interest CDs on social platforms, indicating a shift in market behavior [8][9]. - Experts predict that large-denomination CD rates will continue to decline, especially for short-term products, suggesting that the likelihood of earning passive income through these instruments is significantly decreasing [10]. - Investors are advised to diversify their asset allocations, with stable investors focusing on fixed-term deposits and savings bonds, while those with higher risk tolerance may consider "fixed income plus" products and equity investments [10].