券商中国·2026-01-16 00:03Core Viewpoint - The article highlights a positive trend in the U.S. stock market driven by strong earnings reports from major financial institutions and optimistic guidance from TSMC, which has reignited investor interest in technology stocks [2][4]. Financial Sector Performance - U.S. stock indices collectively rose, with the Dow Jones up 0.60%, Nasdaq up 0.25%, and S&P 500 up 0.26% as of January 15 [4]. - Major financial stocks surged, with Morgan Stanley rising nearly 6% to reach a historical high, and Goldman Sachs and Citigroup both increasing over 4% [4]. - BlackRock, the world's largest asset management company, saw its assets under management reach a record $14.04 trillion, increasing by 5.9% in Q4 [4]. Earnings Reports - Morgan Stanley reported Q4 revenue of $17.89 billion, a 10.3% year-over-year increase, exceeding market expectations of $17.77 billion, with earnings per share at $2.68, surpassing the forecast of $2.44 [4]. - Goldman Sachs disclosed Q4 revenue of $13.45 billion, a 3% year-over-year decline, slightly below expectations, but Non-GAAP earnings per share reached $14.01, significantly exceeding the forecast of $2.25 [4]. TSMC's Impact on Technology Stocks - TSMC's Q4 gross margin exceeded 60% for the first time, with net profit reaching $16 billion, a 35% year-over-year increase, surpassing analyst expectations [5]. - TSMC plans to significantly increase capital expenditures to $56 billion in 2026, a 37% increase from 2025, to capitalize on AI opportunities, with revenue growth expectations close to 30% [5]. - Following TSMC's report, its stock rose 4.4%, contributing to a broader rally in semiconductor stocks, with the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index up 1.76% [5]. Federal Reserve Policy Signals - Recent labor market data showed initial jobless claims fell to 198,000, significantly below the expected 215,000, alleviating concerns about labor market weakness [8]. - Several Federal Reserve officials indicated support for pausing interest rate cuts in the upcoming meeting, citing a stable labor market and persistent inflation pressures [8]. - Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee emphasized the need to bring inflation down to 2%, while other officials expressed caution against further rate cuts due to ongoing inflation concerns [8].